10 years, 1 month ago
Okay, here we go with a prediction. I have made only a few of those so far, because they are something that:
- No one remembers if you got it right, and
- Everyone will remember if you got it wrong.
Nevertheless, I will make one. This is a prediction with a small “p.” I have no special knowledge and I am not clairvoyant. I just have a web site and have a thought to share — for whatever its worth.
Joseph Lieberman will win the Senate race this November. The democrats in Connecticut committed suicide tonight. They simply imploded, and let the Daily KOS types ruin their chances of taking the Senate this November (I am a Republican, so this is a good thing if I am right).
My thinking goes like this. Ken Mehlman won’t give a penny from the RNC coffers to the Republican candidate in Connecticut. There will be enough Republicans that cross over and vote Independent this November that, together with about half of the democrats in Connecticut (if tonight is any indication), Lieberman’s tally will make him victorious.
Polls will be taken until the “cows come home” or until “pigs fly.” People will respond in polls what they would like to happen, not what they will do in November. When Republicans go into the private voting booth, they will (correctly) think: My candidate cannot get elected — he doesn’t have the votes, and my vote will not change that. Lieberman can get elected, but my vote might make a difference in this case. If Lieberman gets elected, not only do I have a Senator who is strong on defense, but the democrats lose a seat in the Senate, decreasing their strength by unity (one). If I vote for Lieberman my candidate loses, but I win.
So, I cast the vote for Lieberman.
Michelle Malkin has a roundup of coverage.